05/21/2012 (10:16 pm)

End of Extended Benefits May Lower U.S. Jobless Rate: Economy - Bloomberg

Filed under: Finance, News |

The declining U.S. jobless rate may soon get another push downward as Americans lose extended unemployment benefits.

From April 7 through May 12, about 370,000 Americans in 23 states stopped getting the benefits, which provide payments for as long as 99 weeks, according to estimates from the National Employment Law Project. People in the remaining six states and the District of Columbia who still qualify may lose eligibility by September, bringing the program to an end, the report showed.

Some recipients who lose their benefits may decide to accept jobs they view as less than ideal. Others may give up looking for work and drop out of the labor force, eliminating them from the ranks of the jobless. Those outcomes may trim the unemployment rate by 0.1 percentage point to 0.2 point in the next few months, according to economists Dean Maki at Barclays and Michael Feroli at JPMorgan Chase & Co.

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05/16/2012 (11:32 pm)

Mortgage Delinquencies in U.S. Fall to Lowest Since 2008 - Bloomberg

Filed under: Finance, management |

The U.S. mortgage delinquency rate declined in the first quarter to the lowest level since 2008 as an improving job market and low interest rates helped more borrowers pay their bills.

The share of home loans at least 30 days late dropped to 7.4 percent from 7.58 percent in the previous three months, according to a report today from the Mortgage Bankers Association. The rate peaked at 10.1 percent in the first quarter of 2010 and was last lower in the third quarter of 2008, when it was 6.99 percent.

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05/10/2012 (11:48 am)

Coty boosts buyout bid for Avon to about $10.7B

Filed under: Finance, economics |

Beauty products maker Coty Inc. is raising its buyout offer for direct-seller Avon Products Inc. by about 6.5 percent to almost $10.7 billion.

Avon, whose brands include Skin-So-Soft, Anew and mark, said Thursday that Coty told it in a letter that it was raising its offer to $24.75 per share from $23.25 per share.

The revised bid is a 15 percent premium to Avon’s Wednesday closing price of $21.60. Avon shares rose 1.3 percent to $21.87 in premarket trading Thursday.

Avon had rejected Coty’s $10 billion offer last month, but Coty has remained interested. It said in the letter to Avon that it wants to look at Avon’s books to confirm estimates and learn more about Avon’s ongoing bribery investigation and litigation.

Coty says it will withdraw its latest bid if it doesn’t receive a response by the close of business Monday.

Coty’s letter indicated Avon has said it is not interested in reviewing any proposal until after newly installed CEO Sherilyn McCoy has completed a review of all of Avon’s business operations.

On Thursday, Avon said its board will consider Coty’s letter in due course.

Founded in 1886, Avon became a fixture in households across the country as its legions of “Avon ladies” went door to door selling makeup to family, friends and acquaintances.

Now, Avon is in transition. McCoy, a long-time Johnson & Johnson executive, has been in place less than a month easy payday loans. She replaced CEO Andrea Jung, who had come under fire for failing to stem the company’s declines and wrap up the bribery investigation, which started in China in 2008 and has spread to other countries.

The company’s profit has shrunk over the past three years. It has frequently missed analysts’ earnings expectations and posted weak sales in some of its largest markets, including Brazil and Russia. Avon said last week that its first-quarter net income fell 82 percent, hurt by a bigger restructuring charge and higher commodity and labor costs.

Rumors of other possible bids for the New York company have been swirling. A media report last week said private equity firm Richmont Holdings is structuring an offer for Avon, but so far nothing has materialized.

Coty is controlled by German holding company Joh. A. Benckiser GmbH, which also operates consumer products company Reckitt Benckiser Group PLC. Reckitt’s brands include Air Wick air freshener and Clearasil skin care products. Benckiser is one of Coty’s financing sources, along with BOT Capital Partners and Berkshire Hathaway Inc.

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04/17/2012 (2:48 pm)

US stocks jump after strong profits

Filed under: Finance, Mortgage |

Stocks stormed higher this afternoon after promising signals about the profitability of U.S. companies and a strong debt auction by Spain. The Dow Jones industrial average headed for its biggest gain in a month.

European stocks had their best day in four months after Spain, the latest flashpoint in the European debt crisis, attracted strong investor interest at an auction of two-year debt.

Spain’s borrowing costs fell, as measured by the yields on Spanish bonds being traded in the market. Those yields had risen in recent days closer to levels that might force Spain to seek an international bailout.

“There’s no doubt that gave the market a second wind,” Anthony Chan, chief economist with J.P. Morgan Private Wealth management, said of the debt auction. “The market is reassessing and feeling a little better.”

The Dow Jones industrial average climbed more than 200 points and was up 204 at 13,125 just after 2:30 p.m. EDT. The Dow has had only one 200-point rise this year, a gain of 218 points on March 13.

Doreen Mogavero, a floor broker at the New York Stock Exchange, said people are eager for good news to trade on, and that can lead to sharp reactions in the indexes.

“This earnings season, expectations were low, and it’s going to be easy to beat that,” said Mogavero, the founder and CEO of Mogavero Lee & Co. Inc., a small brokerage of stocks for institutional clients.

They got that good news Tuesday: Coca-Cola said its first-quarter profit was better than Wall Street analysts had forecast. Goldman Sachs and Johnson & Johnson also posted strong results.

After nine straight quarters of growth, earnings for companies in the S&P 500 index were expected to be roughly flat for the first quarter. The slowdown was expected because of global threats from Europe and China and the difficulty of beating double-digit gains in recent quarters.

Markets have been encouraged so far by companies that beat analyst expectations, Chan said. But he warned against judging the quarter based on the small number of companies that have reported at this early stage.

Coke stock leapt 2.6 percent. Traders did not appear as impressed by Goldman Sachs and Johnson & Johnson. J&J was flat, while Goldman fell nearly a percent.

The Standard & Poor’s 500 index added 23 points to 1,392. All 10 of its industry groups were higher, led by information technology stocks.

The Nasdaq composite index soared 63 to 3,051, its best day in three weeks. Apple, the most valuable company in the world, rose 4.4 percent after five straight days of losses that wiped out about $60 billion in market value.

In Spain early Tuesday, the government sold more than €3.2 billion ($4.2 billion) in short-term debt, more than had been expected. The yield on Spain’s 10-year government bond fell to 5.86 percent from 6.10 percent early Monday, a sign of improving confidence in the country’s finances.

The cost of insuring Spanish debt against default pulled back from a record high, another sign that the auction reassured bond investors. The cost of insuring €10 million in Spanish debt for five years had soared to €522,000 per year on Monday. After Tuesday’s auction, it fell to €489,000.

Italy’s benchmark stock index rose 3.7 percent. France’s and Germany’s gained 2.7 percent. The broad STOXX 50 index of European shares rose 2 percent, the most since November.

In the United States, the rally followed a batch of mixed economic news. The number of permits requested by homebuilders for future projects reached a 3½-year high, an indication that the housing market might stop weighing down the economy. But builders broke ground on homes at a slower pace in March.

Factory output fell after four strong months of gains.

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04/12/2012 (2:12 pm)

Global trade expected to slow in 2012

Filed under: Finance, Loans |

Europe’s sovereign debt crisis and the aftershocks of events such as the Japan earthquake and Arab Spring are expected to slow the growth in global exports to just 3.7 percent in 2012, the World Trade Organization said Thursday.

That comes after a slowdown to 5 percent in 2011 and 13.8 percent in 2010, the global trade body said in its annual report. The figures represent the total volume of merchandise exported across borders, accounting for changes in prices and exchange rates.

“More than three years have passed since the trade collapse of 2008-09, but the world economy and trade remain fragile,” WTO chief Pascal Lamy said. “The further slowing of trade expected in 2012 shows that the downside risks remain high. We are not yet out of the woods.”

The global forecasts are remain uncertain due to potential volatility caused by the eurozone crisis, U.S. debt concerns, economic aftershocks of the Japan earthquake and nuclear crisis, flooding in Thailand and the impact of continuing political unrest in the oil-rich Middle East.

The slowdown in 2012 would bring trade growth below the world average rate of 5.4 percent over the last 20 years, the WTO said. Developing economies are expected to lead the growth in goods traded this year with a forecast 5.6 percent increase in exports, compared to 2 percent for industrialized nations.

The forecast assumes a global output growth of 2.1 percent, down from 2.4 percent last year.

Lamy warned that protectionism could rise among governments grappling with the slow trade growth.

“The WTO has so far deterred economic nationalism, but the sluggish pace of recovery raises concerns that a steady trickle of restrictive trade measures could gradually undermine the benefits of trade openness,” he said.

In 2013, the growth rate is expected to recover slightly again to 5.6 percent, the organization forecast. This was the first time the WTO predicted a growth rate more than a year in advance.

Last year, developed countries did a bit better than expected, while the U.S. became a net exporter of fuels in large part because of coal exports to Japan, WTO officials said.

The U.S. saw exports grow 7.2 percent in 2011 after a rise of 15.4 percent the year before. The European Union saw exports grow 5.2 percent in 2011 after a rise of 11.5 percent the year before.

Japan’s exports contracted by 0.5 percent, a sharp turnaround from its 27.5 percent rise in exports the year before, which had made up for the sharp 24.9 percent decline in 2009.

China, the world’s biggest exporter, saw its growth in exports slow to 9.3 percent in 2011 after a surge of 28.4 percent the year before.

Measured in dollar terms, the total value of merchandise traded in 2011 was $18.2 trillion, a jump of 19 percent and an all-time global record driven by rising prices for fuels and other commodities.

The WTO, however, bases it forecast for growth rates on the volume of merchandise, since prices are difficult to predict.

The 2010 rate of 13.8 percent represented a slight downward revision to last year’s reported figure of 14.5 percent _ the biggest rise recorded since 1950 _ based on more recent and complete data showing how economies rebounded from the global downturn.

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04/10/2012 (7:52 pm)

Alcoa’s surprise 1Q profit could boost Wall Street

Filed under: Finance, News |

Alcoa may have given a slumping Wall Street just what it needed: a surprise profit.

The largest U.S. aluminum manufacturer said Tuesday that it earned 9 cents share in the first quarter. It surpassed analyst forecasts for a small loss by selling more aluminum to a wide range of customers, including car makers and aircraft manufacturers, and operating its plants more efficiently.

Alcoa is considered a barometer for the economy. It’s also the first of the 30 companies in the Dow Jones industrial average to report results. Its stock rose 5.3 percent in after-hours trading, providing hope that the stock market might halt its longest and deepest slump of the year on Wednesday.

“It looks like they’re going to get the earnings season off on a good note,” said Argus Research analyst Bill Selesky.

Alcoa’s net income of $94 million marks a turnaround from the $191 million loss it reported for the fourth quarter. But it’s 70 percent below net income of $308 million, or 27 cents a share, posted a in the year-earlier quarter.

Revenue rose to $6 billion from $5.95 billion. Analysts predicted revenue of $5.77 billion.

Alcoa said sales rose from the fourth quarter across most of its markets, including automobiles, aerospace and other transportation, to packaging and industrial products. That offset lower realized prices for aluminum and alumina, a material used in processing aluminum.

Investors were anxiously waiting to see Alcoa’s results, scheduled for after the market closed. Fears of a bad earnings season contributed to a recent losing streak that wiped out more than half the first-quarter gain for the Dow, and more than a third for the Standard & Poor’s 500.

On Tuesday, the Dow lost more than 213 points as renewed concerns over Europe’s debt crisis, now focusing on Spain, were added to the earnings jitters.

During the first quarter, analyst expectations for earnings for companies in the Standard & Poor’s 500 index went from an increase of about 3 percent to a decline of 0.1 percent, according to FactSet.

Investors were also watching for Alcoa’s forecast for 2012 global aluminum demand cash advance america. It reaffirmed its expectation for a 7 percent increase. The company expects strong demand for aluminum used in autos, heavy trucks and trailers to remain strong in North America, which accounts for nearly 50 percent of Alcoa’s business.

In the U.S., auto sales rose 13 percent to 3.5 million cars and trucks in the first quarter, and car companies and suppliers were scrambling to meet demand. Many analysts expect the auto industry to have its best sales year since 2007. A trade group for the aluminum industry said that car and trucks made in the U.S. contain an average of 343 pounds of aluminum. That’s about 9 percent of the weight of a vehicle.

The company also expects China’s automotive market to grow as much as 7 percent this year. Demand for aluminum remains weak in Europe, which is struggling to resolve a sovereign debt crisis.

Alcoa’s upbeat earnings could be a good sign for other materials companies. The materials sector _ including metals and mining, diversified chemicals and construction materials _ was expected to show the biggest decline.

“When you look at all the cost cuts (materials) companies did during the recession, they’re a lot leaner now than they were a couple of years ago,” Selesky said. “I think it points to companies doing a bit better than originally expected just based on running a more efficient, leaner company.”

Alcoa cut some smelting and refining operations earlier this year after demand fell late in 2011 as customers became concerned about a slowing global economy. And, faced with high costs for raw materials and energy, Alcoa boosted productivity.

“It’s just a significant effort from all of our businesses and, obviously, the key factor in our earnings improvement,” Chief Financial Officer Chuck McLane told analysts during a conference call.

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03/24/2012 (1:24 am)

US futures fall on economic unease abroad

Filed under: Finance, economics |

Stock futures are declining as strong earnings from U.S. companies are being overshadowed by a week’s worth of disquieting economic reports from China and Europe.

The Dow Jones industrial average futures are down 27 points to 12,974 and Standard & Poor’s 500 futures are off 1.6 points to 1,387.3. Nasdaq 100 futures are down less than a point at 2,730.50.

The Commerce Department is expected to report Friday that for the fifth time in six months, more Americans bought new homes cash advance in one hour. On three days so far this week, housing reports have suggested that the worst is over in a sector that has dragged heavily on the U.S. economy.

But investors can’t seem to shake the thought of a hard landing for China, or of an slow recovery in Europe.

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02/11/2012 (2:16 am)

Italy: Wrecked cruise ship moves in rough seas

Filed under: Finance, money |

Italian officials say rough seas have increased movements of the crippled Costa Concordia and are thwarting the start of fuel removal a month after the cruise ship capsized off a Tuscan island.

The national office overseeing search and anti-pollution operations said Friday that instruments registered increased and faster movements of the ship, which is resting on its side just outside Giglio island’s port. But they said the movements have since slowed down. If the ship keeps shifting, it could drop down onto deeper seabed, complicating plans to remove fuel quick payday loan.

At least 17 people died in the incident and 15 are missing. Italian TG5 broadcast video showing confusion among the captain and crew on the ship’s bridge in the hour after Concordia rammed a reef.

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01/24/2012 (12:44 am)

Japan central bank downgrades growth forecast

Filed under: Finance, online |

Japan’s central bank said Tuesday it expects the economy to shrink slightly during the fiscal year ending in March instead of expanding as it forecast earlier because of the overseas slowdown.

The Bank of Japan kept its key interest rate the same at close to zero percent but downgraded its growth forecast for the year ending March 2012 to a 0.4 percent contraction from the 0.3 percent expansion it gave in October.

The bank stuck to its projection for a moderate recovery starting the first half of the next fiscal year.

But it lowered its projection for fiscal 2012 to 2.0 percent growth from 2.2 percent growth No teletrack payday loans. It was more upbeat about fiscal 2013, raising that to a 1.6 percent expansion from 1.5 percent.

The bank said the massive debt problems in Europe as well as uncertainty about the U.S. economy are risks for Japan’s outlook.

The strong yen, which erodes the value of exports from the world’s third largest economy, also dragged down growth, keeping economic activity “more or less flat,” it said.

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01/14/2012 (12:44 pm)

Debtors prison: It’s back and it’s here

Filed under: Finance, online |

Robin Ebersohl knew she had a loud muffler. She couldn’t afford to get it fixed. When she saw a police car, she thought she’d chance it and drive by.

It was a mistake bigger than she could have imagined.

She thought she might get a ticket. Instead, she got three days in jail and her father lost $500 in bail money.

Ebersohl, of Livingston in Madison County, wasn’t accused of a crime. She was arrested on a court order issued at the behest of a creditor trying to collect less than $1,000 she owned in medical bills.

Ebersohl, 51, was trapped in the 21st century version of debtor’s prison.

“It was awful. You get deloused. They do this in front of the guard. It was very embarrassing. It was very degrading,” she said. “I’d never been arrested before, never been in any kind of trouble.”

The term “debtors prison” summons up images of Dickensian England and Colonial America. As a formal matter, most states did away with debtors prisons in the early 1800s, along with the whipping post.

But lots of people still go to jail over unpaid debts in America - including Missouri and Illinois. Here’s how it happens:

A creditor goes to court and gets a judgment for an unpaid debt. The debtor is then summoned to court to be questioned by the creditor, who wants to know about assets that could be seized. It’s called a “pay or appear” hearing in Illinois.

If the debtor doesn’t show up, the creditor asks the judge for an arrest order. In Illinois, that’s called a “body attachment.”

Creditors and their lawyers say it’s necessary tool to make sure that debtors obey the courts.

“If we can’t enforce our contracts, and use the law to do that, what will we become?” asked William Asa, a creditors attorney in Metro East.

Consumer advocates say its used unfairly to squeeze money out of jailed defendants and coerce others with the threat of imprisonment.

Police generally don’t go hunting for debtors. But if they’re stopped for a traffic violation or some other reason, the warrant shows up on computer records and off to jail the debtor goes.

Creditors like body attachments because they make money on them, as Ebersohl can testify. She sat in jail until her father’s pension check arrived, and he paid her $500 bail.

Then the court released the bail to her creditor, the Credit Bureau of Macoupin County. Her father was out the money.

“It’s considered the property of the defendant,” says Brent Cain, who represented the Credit Bureau. After all, the Credit Bureau had a judgement against Ebersohl and thus could take her property.

That’s common practice, says Beverly Yang, attorney at Land of Lincoln Legal Assistance, which provides free legal representation for the poor.

“This process is THE method of collection,” she said.

Arrests of debtors are common today in Southern Illinois, according to Yang. She said Madison County courts issued 65 such arrest orders from April to December of last year. Ebersohl’s arrest was in October 2007 on an order issued in Macoupin County.

Missouri courts are issuing arrest orders for debtors, too, said Rob Swearingen, attorney for Legal Services of Eastern Missouri. So-called “capias” warrents are issued “over and over again” in St business cards. Louis city, he said, although he said he is just beginning to study the issue and doesn’t know how common it is in the state.

The idea of jailing debtors is drawing criticism in Illinois. The state Department of Financial and Professional Regulation is holding hearings on the practice around the state, including one last Monday in Alton.

The department, which regulates lenders, revoked the license of a Easy Money Express, a Carbondale loan company in 2010 for obtaining arrest orders for debtors. The lender got its license back after agreeing to stop the practice.

Yang complains that defendants often don’t know they’ve been summoned to court until they are thrown in jail. Notices of “appear or pay” hearing come by regular mail, she said If the debtor has moved, or didn’t see the letter, they don’t know to appear.

That’s what Ebersohl says happened to her.

Ebersohl was truck driver in 2002, when she came down with cancer. She conquered that, but the ordeal aggravated her diabetes, and she could no longer drive a truck.

She lost her health insurance, along with her job, but her medical bills kept piling up. Eventually, she qualified for disability benefits.

Her creditors sued, got a judgment against her, and began summoning her to “pay or appear” hearings every few months. That’s also a common practice, says Yang, who considers it harassment.

Ebersohl says she went to court every time she got a notice. But says she was never knew about the hearing that caused her arrest. “If I’d got the notice, I would have went,” she said.

Sharon, who identified herself as manager at the Credit Bureau of Macoupin County, declined comment on Ebersohl’s particular case. But she said the agency takes a slow, phased approach to collections.

Before filing suit, the collection agency spends three months trying through letters and phone calls to persuade a debtor to pay, always politely, she said.

“Sometimes people get pretty violent. I’ve been threatened a few times, even today,” said Sharon, who declined to give her last name. “We try to be really nice.”

The agency files suit only if the debtor is making no effort to pay or stay in contact.

“A warrant is issued only when they are in contempt of court - when they refuse to show up or follow the judge’s order,” she said.

Rather than by mail, all their legal papers are delivered by off-duty policemen, she said.

Swearingen says his debtor clients in Missouri often never learn they’ve been sued until after they’re facing a wage garnishment. Missouri law doesn’t allow legal papers to be served by mail in most cases. But it does allow service to someone at the same address. Especially if the defendant has moved, he may never see the papers.

Yang is pressing for changes in Illinois forbidding serving papers by mail, or by summoning people to “pay or appear” hearings over and over again. In some counties, debtors must appear every month, she says. One hearing should be enough.

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